Chapter
Applying History to Predict the Future of Asset Management
1:20:27 - 1:28:54 (08:26)
The founder of Green Mantle, an asset management firm, discusses his approach to predicting the future by applying knowledge of history and hiring smart students to help. He acknowledges the limitations of this approach in comparison to the insider knowledge of those in the situation room, but believes it can still be valuable.
Clips
The speaker discusses his work in helping people manage large asset pools through predicting the future of markets and geopolitical events.
1:20:27 - 1:24:03 (03:35)
Summary
The speaker discusses his work in helping people manage large asset pools through predicting the future of markets and geopolitical events. He explains why people are willing to pay to be told the end of the world is nigh and how this work allows him to operate outside the public domain and its associated incentives.
ChapterApplying History to Predict the Future of Asset Management
Episode#634: Niall Ferguson, Historian — The Coming Cold War II, Visible and Invisible Geopolitics, Why Even Atheists Should Study Religion, Masters of Paradox, Fatherhood, Fear, and More
PodcastThe Tim Ferriss Show
The speaker is willing to share his thoughts with those who have to make decisions under pressure and talks to people who make or will make policies in the future.
1:24:03 - 1:25:50 (01:47)
Summary
The speaker is willing to share his thoughts with those who have to make decisions under pressure and talks to people who make or will make policies in the future.
ChapterApplying History to Predict the Future of Asset Management
Episode#634: Niall Ferguson, Historian — The Coming Cold War II, Visible and Invisible Geopolitics, Why Even Atheists Should Study Religion, Masters of Paradox, Fatherhood, Fear, and More
PodcastThe Tim Ferriss Show
The founder of Green Mantle, a geopolitical risk firm, discusses his policy of hiring his smartest students to apply history into their work, the map showing the use of Huawei technology, and how climate change is a Cold War issue.
1:25:51 - 1:28:54 (03:03)
Summary
The founder of Green Mantle, a geopolitical risk firm, discusses his policy of hiring his smartest students to apply history into their work, the map showing the use of Huawei technology, and how climate change is a Cold War issue. He also mentions the failure of the neoconservative project to build empires in Iraq and Afghanistan which was discussed in the book, Colossus.