Due to a shift in sentiment, the Fed may have less of a desire to raise interest rates. However, this shift may cause capital loss totaling around $500 billion and the potential destruction of up to a trillion dollars from 2018 to 2022.
The recent inflation print suggests that there will be less of a driver for the Fed to raise interest rates, leading to a big shift in sentiment between the bond market and the equity market.
The conversation revolves around planning ahead for a market downturn and warns of choppiness ahead. Chamath recommends planning to have cash until the first quarter of 2025, around eight to nine quarters of cash.
The next few years may lead to around $500 billion in capital loss, and it may lead to the destruction of trillions of dollars in 2018 and beyond. As a result of recent layoffs at corporations like Metta, many talented people may seek new opportunities at startups or smaller companies.