Chapter

The Future of the Ukraine Conflict and How to Define a War Criminal
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1:54:34 - 2:10:43 (16:09)

The Ukraine conflict is likely to continue as a stalemate with fierce resistance from behind Russian lines putting stress on their military industrial complex. Defining a war criminal requires evidence and due process, not just accusations on social media or podcasts.

Clips
Russia's military industrial complex is under immense stress due to their reliance on foreign parts; without access to these parts, there are no domestic market substitutes, and they will struggle to produce the weapons they need in the long term.
1:54:34 - 2:02:32 (07:58)
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Russia
Summary

Russia's military industrial complex is under immense stress due to their reliance on foreign parts; without access to these parts, there are no domestic market substitutes, and they will struggle to produce the weapons they need in the long term. Furthermore, the Ukrainian army is testing their ability to move from defense to offense, while the Russian army's ability to hold together during a war of conquest is also in question.

Chapter
The Future of the Ukraine Conflict and How to Define a War Criminal
Episode
#289 – Stephen Kotkin: Putin, Zelenskyy, and War in Ukraine
Podcast
Lex Fridman Podcast
If the conflict between Russia and Ukraine becomes a stalemate, fierce resistance behind the Russian lines in Ukraine may be expected, equivalent to that which the Nazis faced during WWII, leading to an insurgency against the Russian government.
2:02:32 - 2:06:38 (04:05)
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Ukraine-Russia conflict
Summary

If the conflict between Russia and Ukraine becomes a stalemate, fierce resistance behind the Russian lines in Ukraine may be expected, equivalent to that which the Nazis faced during WWII, leading to an insurgency against the Russian government.

Chapter
The Future of the Ukraine Conflict and How to Define a War Criminal
Episode
#289 – Stephen Kotkin: Putin, Zelenskyy, and War in Ukraine
Podcast
Lex Fridman Podcast
The increasing prevalence of cyber warfare and advancements in artillery technology, such as NATO’s long-range artillery and drone coordination, highlight the evolution of warfare, though ultimately, it is still about the people involved in the conflict.
2:06:38 - 2:10:43 (04:05)
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War
Summary

The increasing prevalence of cyber warfare and advancements in artillery technology, such as NATO’s long-range artillery and drone coordination, highlight the evolution of warfare, though ultimately, it is still about the people involved in the conflict.

Chapter
The Future of the Ukraine Conflict and How to Define a War Criminal
Episode
#289 – Stephen Kotkin: Putin, Zelenskyy, and War in Ukraine
Podcast
Lex Fridman Podcast