Chapter
The irrationalities of war decisions
26:32 - 34:49 (08:17)
This episode explores how irrationalities like passions, misperceptions, and wrong calculations affect our ability to make informed decisions about war and conflict, and the values and principles that may sometimes override the cost of violence.
Clips
The speaker discusses how political scientists count and identify potential areas of conflict, specifically focusing on military dictators who were trained in the US, and how we tend to overestimate the likelihood of these sites actually going to war.
26:32 - 29:25 (02:53)
Summary
The speaker discusses how political scientists count and identify potential areas of conflict, specifically focusing on military dictators who were trained in the US, and how we tend to overestimate the likelihood of these sites actually going to war.
ChapterThe irrationalities of war decisions
Episode#273 – Chris Blattman: War and Violence
PodcastLex Fridman Podcast
The concept of game theory and strategic choices is about recognizing that circumstances can dictate the optimal choice, especially when decision-makers are not shouldering costs.
29:25 - 32:18 (02:52)
Summary
The concept of game theory and strategic choices is about recognizing that circumstances can dictate the optimal choice, especially when decision-makers are not shouldering costs.
ChapterThe irrationalities of war decisions
Episode#273 – Chris Blattman: War and Violence
PodcastLex Fridman Podcast
In this episode, the speaker talks about the five factors that can lead to the decision to go to war.
32:18 - 34:49 (02:30)
Summary
In this episode, the speaker talks about the five factors that can lead to the decision to go to war. These include capabilities and resolve, interests, outside pressure, ideologies/principles, and irrationalities such as misperceptions and passionate thinking.