Chapter
The Probability of Living in a Simulated Reality
3:31:04 - 3:39:35 (08:30)
The probability of living in a simulated reality versus base reality is less than 50%. The only way to have a 100% probability of living in base reality is if the ability to produce ancestor simulations is never developed or used.
Clips
The possibility of living in a simulation depends on the Bayesian conditional that assumes the development and utilization of such technology.
3:31:04 - 3:33:41 (02:36)
Simulation
Summary
The possibility of living in a simulation depends on the Bayesian conditional that assumes the development and utilization of such technology. The probability of it being viable and chosen is another factor to consider.
ChapterThe Probability of Living in a Simulated Reality
Episode#355 – David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds
PodcastLex Fridman Podcast
The probability of living in a simulated reality versus base reality is slightly less than 50%, and you have a 100% probability of living in base reality if we never develop the ability or choose never to use it.
3:33:41 - 3:39:35 (05:54)
Simulated Reality
Summary
The probability of living in a simulated reality versus base reality is slightly less than 50%, and you have a 100% probability of living in base reality if we never develop the ability or choose never to use it.