Chapter
Understanding Bayes Rule and Rationality
06:27 - 21:55 (15:27)
This podcast discusses the concept of Bayes Rule and how it can be used to calibrate beliefs based on evidence, as well as the correlation between intelligence and rationality.
Clips
The concept of Bayes rule involves probability to calibrate belief to evidence, while intelligence correlates with rationality but isn't perfect.
06:27 - 21:55 (15:27)
Bayesian thinking
Summary
The concept of Bayes rule involves probability to calibrate belief to evidence, while intelligence correlates with rationality but isn't perfect. Rational thinking can be hindered by fixed beliefs related to political ideology or tribal coalition.