Peter Zeihan is a geopolitical analyst, author and a speaker. The world is changing faster than ever, and a lot of the countries, dynamics, peace treaties and structures we're familiar with may be about to come to an end. Peter's job consists of him analysing data from geography, demographics, and global politics to understand economic trends and make predictions. And if his predictions are correct, the next 50 years are going to look incredibly different. Expect to learn why China will lose half of it's population by 2050, why globalisation is coming to an end even though we're more connected than ever, why population demographics are one of the most important factors in determining the future, whether automation will help or hinder us, whether food shortages are actually something to panic about and much more... Sponsors: Get 83% discount & 3 months free from Surfshark VPN at https://surfshark.deals/MODERNWISDOM (use code MODERNWISDOM) Get 10% discount on all Optimal Carnivore’s products at www.amazon.com/optimalcarnivore (use code: WISDOMSAVE10) Get 15% discount on Craftd London’s jewellery at https://bit.ly/cdwisdom (use code MW15) Extra Stuff: Buy The End Of The World Is Just The Beginning - https://amzn.to/3AekTQz Get my free Reading List of 100 books to read before you die → https://chriswillx.com/books/ To support me on Patreon (thank you): https://www.patreon.com/modernwisdom - Get in touch. Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact/
Geopolitical analyst, Peter Zian, claims that his analysis of data from geography, demographics, and global politics indicates that China will lose half of its population by 2050, that globalization is coming to an end, and more predictions about the future.
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A shift in demographics, with an aging population in the developed world and a younger one in the developing world, may have significant implications for our global economy and politics.
The podcast discusses how population growth and collapse is similar to an R-naught number, where having more people leads to having more children, which further leads to an increase in population growth. The sub-Saharan African countries have started to industrialize and are following the same path as others, with the first step being a decrease in infant and child mortality, and three countries, namely New Zealand, France, and the US, have lower urbanization rates due to similar reasons.
The future of energy trade with Russia may be in jeopardy due to a potential hack into their supply chain that could shut down up to 2-3 million barrels of oil per day. Additionally, China's reliance on phosphate for their agriculture industry is causing concern for potential food shortages.
In this episode, David McWilliams speaks with Moisés Naím about the evolution of globalization and its subcomponents, including energy and security. They discuss whether the current state of information sharing and sanctions will prevent countries from resorting to primitive tactics like stealing shipments of goods.
The US is starting the trade process with minimal exposure to the wider world, and being a net energy exporter, it will be affected by losing 5% of global crude, making negotiations in the future weaker.
The US has a unique demographic structure with a bulge of baby boomers and millennials, while Gen X and zoomers have a big cutout, which could lead to another baby boom as millennials come into their own, according to demographic data.
The future of agriculture holds promise with technology such as automated facilities and individual plant identification for needs. However, the risk of breaking down global transport and intermediate goods trade may hinder progress and impact economies of scale.
The vote of an uninformed or grumpy person is equal to that of a well-educated or rational individual in a democracy. In the case of an individual in power, one's bad decision will have the same effect as a good one, which could result in negative consequences such as civil strife.
Peter Zeihan suggests the best time for Ukraine to take the country in a more sustainable direction is now. Stay updated on his work by signing up for free video logs and newsletters on z-e-i-h-a-n.com.