It’s March 2013. The G.O.P., in tatters, issues a scathing report blaming its electoral failures on an out-of-touch leadership that ignores minorities at its own peril. Just three years later, Donald Trump proves his party dead wrong. Today, how certain assumptions took hold of both parties — and what they’re still getting wrong — heading into the midterm elections.
The speaker describes the growing sense of political disconnect in people, attributing it to the lack of moderate political spaces and flawed assumptions political leaders have served up about the country, who we are, and where we're going.
The autopsy of the Republican Party's 2012 election loss called for better outreach to minority groups, particularly Latino voters, and urged the party to embrace a more inclusive message on race and immigration to avoid future electoral defeats. Despite the tough task ahead, the party’s chairman was determined to turn things around.
The election of Barack Obama in 2008 represented a larger trend towards the erosion of whiteness as the defining factor of American identity and foreshadowed the Democratic Party's belief in a long-term period of electoral dominance based on changing demographics in the country.
The White House was very much confident that Obama would win the election in 2012, as they believed the presidential coalition was different from what the Republican Party believed was necessary to win.
Trump's success with white voters was due to his connection with their sense of frustration and angst. Trump leaned into anti-immigration rhetoric and stoked fear about the country's demographic changes to appeal to those voters.
People come from different backgrounds and have their own perspectives about various issues. It's important to acknowledge the diversity of people's values and beliefs, and not just brush them off because they don't align with our own.
Despite the anti-immigration rhetoric from Republicans, Latino voters did not show a severe backlash against them in the 2020 elections, and there are misconceptions of their vote being a monolithic block that sides with a specific party.
Will demographics play a decisive role in US elections? Democrats were wrong to expect Hispanics to embrace the party, but it is unclear whether they will now rush to vote Republicans.