Chapter

The Decrease of Wars and its Implications for Future Civilization Threats
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1:18:57 - 1:24:43 (05:46)

The median rate of war has significantly decreased in the last century, however, the implications for future civilization-threatening pandemics or nuclear war are still uncertain. Although the average war may seem worse than the median war due to the long tail, the devastation of a nuclear war has deterred its initiation.

Clips
The abundance of ocean worlds in our universe may suggest the possibility of advanced life.
1:18:57 - 1:20:51 (01:54)
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Life on Ocean Worlds
Summary

The abundance of ocean worlds in our universe may suggest the possibility of advanced life. The conditions on these planets are not subject to the same limitations as other long-lived planets which implies that they may hold the key to our search for life beyond Earth.

Chapter
The Decrease of Wars and its Implications for Future Civilization Threats
Episode
#292 – Robin Hanson: Alien Civilizations, UFOs, and the Future of Humanity
Podcast
Lex Fridman Podcast
The concept of mutually assured destruction, in which both sides would suffer catastrophic consequences in the event of a nuclear war, has been instrumental in preventing such a conflict.
1:20:51 - 1:22:14 (01:23)
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Nuclear War
Summary

The concept of mutually assured destruction, in which both sides would suffer catastrophic consequences in the event of a nuclear war, has been instrumental in preventing such a conflict. However, some argue that as technology advances, the effectiveness of this deterrent may diminish.

Chapter
The Decrease of Wars and its Implications for Future Civilization Threats
Episode
#292 – Robin Hanson: Alien Civilizations, UFOs, and the Future of Humanity
Podcast
Lex Fridman Podcast
The average war is much worse than the median war due to a power law with a thick tail when fitting the rate of wars, indicating that most wars are large and have significant casualties.
1:22:14 - 1:24:43 (02:28)
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Mathematics
Summary

The average war is much worse than the median war due to a power law with a thick tail when fitting the rate of wars, indicating that most wars are large and have significant casualties.

Chapter
The Decrease of Wars and its Implications for Future Civilization Threats
Episode
#292 – Robin Hanson: Alien Civilizations, UFOs, and the Future of Humanity
Podcast
Lex Fridman Podcast