Chapter
The Interpretation of Evidence in Decision-Making by Party Insiders
35:08 - 45:25 (10:17)
Party insiders' decisions may not be based on hard and fast evidence but by their interpretation of evidence that could lead to desired results, enabled by the narrative-driven moment influencing decisions about political race, funds, and DeSantis's judgment. Low-income voters, who are vulnerable on inflation and less likely to choose liberal ideas like rights, freedom and democracy, could also be affected.
Clips
Inflation could have a significant impact on low-income voters, who are less likely to be swayed by liberal idealist ideas and may view Biden as a better alternative compared to when they were polled a year earlier.
35:08 - 39:33 (04:25)
Summary
Inflation could have a significant impact on low-income voters, who are less likely to be swayed by liberal idealist ideas and may view Biden as a better alternative compared to when they were polled a year earlier. Presidential approval ratings tend to increase in the run-up to a re-election campaign, as voters start comparing the incumbent to the alternative.
ChapterThe Interpretation of Evidence in Decision-Making by Party Insiders
EpisodeThe Trump Inevitability Question
PodcastThe Run-Up
The hosts talk about the strong language used to describe Donald Trump's inevitability in the 2020 presidential election and discuss the importance of carefully examining voter sentiment towards him in the primary.
39:33 - 41:40 (02:07)
Summary
The hosts talk about the strong language used to describe Donald Trump's inevitability in the 2020 presidential election and discuss the importance of carefully examining voter sentiment towards him in the primary.
ChapterThe Interpretation of Evidence in Decision-Making by Party Insiders
EpisodeThe Trump Inevitability Question
PodcastThe Run-Up
Parties seem to be relying more on their own interpretations and priors when making decisions rather than hard evidence, and it's becoming increasingly difficult for them to break from what they've done in the past due to their ideological consistency.
41:40 - 45:25 (03:44)
Summary
Parties seem to be relying more on their own interpretations and priors when making decisions rather than hard evidence, and it's becoming increasingly difficult for them to break from what they've done in the past due to their ideological consistency. Additionally, some decisions may not be based on rational interests, but rather on a desire to avoid attacks or support longstanding issues.