Episode
The Trump Inevitability Question
47:35
Published: Thu May 04 2023
Description
Outside a Manhattan courtroom, on the day of former President Donald Trump’s arraignment, Astead spoke to two camps of spectators. Supporters cast Mr. Trump as the victim of prosecutorial overreach, while opposing voices hoped this was just the beginning of his legal troubles.With an ever-shifting political landscape as America heads toward the 2024 election, what do Mr. Trump’s mounting legal woes mean for his electoral viability? Is success for the former president, despite it all, an inevitability?Astead speaks with Nate Cohn, The New York Times’s chief political analyst, about what the polls do — and do not — tell us.
Chapters
The speaker navigates through the streets of New York, expressing uncertainty about whether certain people are conceited or famous, in search of someone earnestly pursuing justice.
00:00 - 01:46 (01:46)
Summary
The speaker navigates through the streets of New York, expressing uncertainty about whether certain people are conceited or famous, in search of someone earnestly pursuing justice.
EpisodeThe Trump Inevitability Question
PodcastThe Run-Up
Manhattan D. A. Alvin Bragg is turning campaign finance charges into felony offenses and has been accused of targeting Trump by contributors.
01:46 - 05:03 (03:16)
Summary
Manhattan D. A. Alvin Bragg is turning campaign finance charges into felony offenses and has been accused of targeting Trump by contributors. The chaos in Bragg's office is reminiscent of post-election events in 2016 and 2017.
EpisodeThe Trump Inevitability Question
PodcastThe Run-Up
The podcast discusses how far-right commentator Psobiak promotes conspiracy theories like Pizza Gate and how Reddit played a role in Trump's think tank.
05:03 - 07:31 (02:27)
Summary
The podcast discusses how far-right commentator Psobiak promotes conspiracy theories like Pizza Gate and how Reddit played a role in Trump's think tank. The hosts express optimism that holding Psobiak accountable is a good step.
EpisodeThe Trump Inevitability Question
PodcastThe Run-Up
The question of whether Trump can win back independence and reach out to swing builders has risen since the 2022 election.
07:31 - 15:01 (07:30)
Summary
The question of whether Trump can win back independence and reach out to swing builders has risen since the 2022 election. With his focus on victimhood and retribution, Trump might have a chance to win the 2024 elections.
EpisodeThe Trump Inevitability Question
PodcastThe Run-Up
There is not enough evidence to determine if the indictment against Donald Trump's adviser Matt Gaetz has caused any changes to the race, according to FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver.
15:01 - 18:45 (03:43)
Summary
There is not enough evidence to determine if the indictment against Donald Trump's adviser Matt Gaetz has caused any changes to the race, according to FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver.
EpisodeThe Trump Inevitability Question
PodcastThe Run-Up
Despite Ron DeSantis facing daily media backlash, the idea of Trump's dominance makes him seem inevitable, but a strong anti-Trump candidate could shift the conversation.
18:45 - 30:27 (11:42)
Summary
Despite Ron DeSantis facing daily media backlash, the idea of Trump's dominance makes him seem inevitable, but a strong anti-Trump candidate could shift the conversation. The inevitability of Trump's continued influence on presidential politics is not a solid fact, despite the current media coverage.
EpisodeThe Trump Inevitability Question
PodcastThe Run-Up
The lack of the fun, positive side of Donald Trump contributed to his loss of support after the 2020 election, where he instead focused on resentment and claiming the election was stolen from him.
30:27 - 35:08 (04:40)
Summary
The lack of the fun, positive side of Donald Trump contributed to his loss of support after the 2020 election, where he instead focused on resentment and claiming the election was stolen from him.
EpisodeThe Trump Inevitability Question
PodcastThe Run-Up
Party insiders' decisions may not be based on hard and fast evidence but by their interpretation of evidence that could lead to desired results, enabled by the narrative-driven moment influencing decisions about political race, funds, and DeSantis's judgment.
35:08 - 45:25 (10:17)
Summary
Party insiders' decisions may not be based on hard and fast evidence but by their interpretation of evidence that could lead to desired results, enabled by the narrative-driven moment influencing decisions about political race, funds, and DeSantis's judgment. Low-income voters, who are vulnerable on inflation and less likely to choose liberal ideas like rights, freedom and democracy, could also be affected.
EpisodeThe Trump Inevitability Question
PodcastThe Run-Up
In this episode of The Run-Up, the crew talks about the possibility of Nikki Haley running against Donald Trump in 2024, and the likelihood of her winning.
45:25 - 47:29 (02:04)
Summary
In this episode of The Run-Up, the crew talks about the possibility of Nikki Haley running against Donald Trump in 2024, and the likelihood of her winning. They also discuss what the moderates are doing in the meantime.