Chapter

The Role of Goal Distribution and Shot Differential in Football
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09:09 - 15:19 (06:10)

The goal distribution and shot differential can have a big degree of randomness in football games. Shot differential is a trusted statistic for gamblers that indicates the difference between the number of shots a team produces versus the number of shots the opponent produces.

Clips
The number of goals scored by a team versus the number of goals conceded has a big degree of randomness, making underlying performance indicators more predictive of a team's future success than their current league table position.
09:09 - 12:05 (02:55)
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Football
Summary

The number of goals scored by a team versus the number of goals conceded has a big degree of randomness, making underlying performance indicators more predictive of a team's future success than their current league table position.

Chapter
The Role of Goal Distribution and Shot Differential in Football
Episode
How to outthink your competition -- with a lesson from sports | Rasmus Ankersen
Podcast
TED Talks Daily
Newcastle's fifth place in the Premier League is deceiving as it is driven by a negative shot differential, indicating unsustainable high conversion rates.
12:05 - 15:19 (03:14)
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Football Analytics
Summary

Newcastle's fifth place in the Premier League is deceiving as it is driven by a negative shot differential, indicating unsustainable high conversion rates.

Chapter
The Role of Goal Distribution and Shot Differential in Football
Episode
How to outthink your competition -- with a lesson from sports | Rasmus Ankersen
Podcast
TED Talks Daily